Paul Mendoza


Trying to predict the Golden Globes is different than the Oscars or Emmys. The Hollywood Foreign press is an elusive bunch. Last year’s Best Comedy or Musical Film went to The Martian! So it’s not about what you think should win it’s about who you think the Foreign Press is going to pick. Here it goes!


Best Picture (Drama)
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Manchester by the Sea

So already I’ve messed up because I’m picking what I think should win. Hell or High Water is great and so is Moonlight. But Manchester by the Sea stays with me.


Best Picture (Musical or Comedy)
Florence Foster Jenkins
La La Land
Sing Street
20th Century Women

This is a no brainer. This is the front runner for the Oscar. It’s an homage to the old Hollywood musicals of the 50s: A lot of Singin’ In The Rain (1951) with more than a touch of It’s Always Fair Weather (1956). Both starred Gene Kelly, by the way.


Best Director
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Tom Ford, Nocturnal Animals
Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea

This is a big one. Mel Gibson takes another step in his welcome back to Hollywood. Tom Ford earns some big props though his film was not nominated for Best Film and neither of his leads were nominated. This leaves the three that I think are going to be in the final run for the Oscar. I’m going with Damien Chazelle. The Foreign Press will be caught up in the old Hollywood glitz of the film. But if Barry Jenkins or Kenneth Lonnergan wins they will be the favorite to win the Oscar and so will their film.


Best Actor, Movie (Drama)
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Joel Edgerton, Loving
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences
The Golden Globes love them some Denzel but it’s going to Casey Affleck.


Best Actor, Movie (Comedy)
Colin Farrell, The Lobster
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Jonah Hill, War Dogs
Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool

Tough one. Ryan Reynolds was really funny in Deadpool. A very original performance. It seems logical that it should go to Gosling for La La Land but the Globes loves Colin Ferrell and he was excellent in the underrated The Lobster. I’m going with Colin.


Best Actress, Movie (Drama)
Amy Adams, Arrival
Jessica Chastain, Miss Sloane
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Ruth Negga, Loving
Natalie Portman, Jackie

Natalie Portman is the odds on favorite to win the Oscar. I don’t see it going any other way here.


Best Actress, Movie (Comedy)
Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
Lily Collins, Rules Don’t Apply
Hailee Steinfeld, The Edge of Seventeen
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Emma Stone is wonderful in La La Land. But never underestimate the incredible Annette Benning. Still going with Emma, though.


Best Supporting Actor (Movie)
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Simon Helberg, Florence Foster Jenkins
Dev Patel, Lion
Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

Mahershala Ali is the favorite to win the Oscar. His performance is quiet and powerful and a true supporting performance, he’s only in the first third of Moonlight. Jeff Bridges is really nominated here in a leading role but the Globes love him, everyone does. He could surprise.


Best Supporting Actress, Movie
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

This is a similar case as with Supporting Actor: Michelle Williams gives a heartbreaking performance in a true supporting role in Mancehster. Viola Davis is really a lead performance. She won the Tony as Best Actress for the same role a few years ago. Going with Davis on this one.


Best TV Series (Drama)
The Crown
Game of Thrones
Stranger Things
This Is Us

Westworld’s the best new show on TV and the Globes loves to crown the new best thing.
Granted, every show on this list is great and 4 of the 5 are in their first season but Westworld is just the best show on TV right now. (Damn, I’m letting my own opinion get the best of me again)


Best Actor, TV (Drama)
Rami Malek, Mr. Robot
Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
Matthew Rhys, The Americans
Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan
Billy Bob Thornton, Goliath

Another tough one. Going with Bob Odenkirk.


Best Actress, TV (Drama)
Caitriona Balfe, Outlander
Claire Foy, The Crown
Keri Russell, The Americans
Winona Ryder, Stranger Things
Evan Rachel Wood, Westworld

Evan Rachel Wood is amazing in Westworld. But the Globes love a comeback so it could be Winona Ryder. But I really want to see Wood win!

Best TV Series (Comedy)
Mozart in the Jungle

I don’t watch any of these but Atlanta is the hot new show so I’m going with that.

Best TV Miniseries
American Crime
The Dresser
The Night Manager
The Night Of
The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story

The Juice is loose! Hands down going to win.

OK. Let’s see how I do! It should be a great show. Meryl Streep will be receiving the Cecil B. DeMille award for lifetime achievement. And she is nowhere near stopping!