Academy Awards 2016 – Predictions

Paul Mendoza

Academy Awards 2016

This year’s Oscar nominations brought many surprises and disappointments and a major controversy which is sure to be center stage Sunday night when Chris Rock comes out and delivers his monologue. The #OscarsSoWhite has been seen and talked about ad nauseum for the last 5 weeks. Academy president, Cheryl Boone, quickly moved to try and quell the dissent by beginning to implement changes in the Academy rules in an attempt to bring in a more racially diverse and younger membership. This caused more controversy. Suffice it to say, this isn’t something that will be easily or quickly fixed or mended. Only time will tell. 2016 will see Miles Ahead, a film about Miles Davis, written, directed and starring Don Cheadle as well as Birth Of A Nation, the controversial and explosive Sundance Film Festival hit about the real life slave uprising led by Nat Turner written, directed and starring Nate Parker. I suspect if these films receive NO nominations come next January we will see a massive protest.

But, first things first. The show must go on! Here are my predictions.

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Big Short
Tom Hardy, The Revenant
Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight
Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Mark Ruffalo is as about as consistently excellent as they come. He gives the strongest performance is a strong ensemble in Spotlight.

Sly Stallone is the sentimental favorite but I think he’ll have to be satisfied with the nomination. “Yo, Adrian! I almost did it!”

Spotlight-Movie

Best Supporting Actress
Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara, Carol
Rachel McAdams, Spotlight
Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

I know I should go with Alicia Vikander but she was really the lead in The Danish Girl and it just doesn’t seem fair to hand her the Supporting trophy.

Kate Winslet gives a true Supporting performance and is almost unrecognizable in Steve Jobs. The great ones win more than once and this will be Kate’s second trophy. Plus the internet is going to effin break if both she and Leo win!

Kate Winslet Steve Jobs

Best Animated Feature Film
Anomalisa
Boy and the World
Inside Out
Shaun the Sheep Movie
When Marnie Was There

I didn’t see any of these but I’m going with Inside Out.
Anybody have a problem with that?

Inside Out

Best Adapted Screenplay
The Big Short
Brooklyn
Carol
The Martian
Room

I don’t think The Big Short is going to win best Picture but it deserves to win something and the Academy usually likes to hand out the 2nd and 3rd place awards via the Screenplay categories.

The Big Short 1

Best Original Screenplay
Bridge of Spies
Ex Machina
Inside Out
Spotlight
Straight Outta Compton

Again, Spotlight is not going win Best Picture so please accept this Best Original Screenplay Award. Well done!

Spotlight 2

Best Cinematography
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Revenant
Sicario

Emmanuel “Chivo” Lubezki won this award last year for Birdman. He won this award the year before for Gravity. He’s going to win his third in a row for The Revenant. The amazing Richard Deakins has been nominated 13 times including this year for Sicario and has never won. That’s a travesty. I hope he gets another shot. Kudos to John Seale’s work in Mad Max as well. A visually stunning film.

The Revenant 3

Best Film Editing
The Big Short
Mad Max: Fury Road
Spotlight
The Revenant
Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Usually, the film that wins this award goes on to win best Picture. But this hasn’t been the case in recent years. This is why I am going with Mad Max: Fury Road on this one.

Charlize Theron Mad Max

Best Actor
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Matt Damon, The Martian
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

If DiCaprio doesn’t win #LEO GOT ROBBED will be more popular than #OSCARSOWHITE

The Revenant 1

Best Actress
Cate Blanchett, Carol
Brie Larson, Room
Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Brie Larson is going to take this and it is well deserved. Her costar Jacob Tremblay should be given his due as well. He is equally responsible for her performance but regrettably wasn’t nominated. #OSCARSOADULTSONLY

ROOM 3

Best Director
Adam McKay, The Big Short
George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road
Alejandro G. Inarritu, The Revenant
Lenny Abrahamson, Room
Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Again, the winner of this award usually dictates the Best Picture winner but, as with the Best Editing category, this has changed recently. However, this year, Best Director and Best Film will be for the same picture. Alejandro Inarritu will win his 2nd trophy in a row. The Revenant is filmmaking at it’s most thrilling and inventive.

Alejandro Inarritu The Revenant

Best Picture
The Big Short
Bridge of Spies
Brooklyn
Mad Max: Fury Road
The Martian
The Revenant
Room
Spotlight

This is really a great group of films and it represents a high quality of excellence. The Big Short won the Producer’s Guild Award, Spotlight the SAG Ensemble Award and Writer’s Guild Award but The Revenant is taking the golden statue. It wasn’t everybody’s cup of tea. It was long and arduous and difficult. But it was also amazing, beautiful, strong, gloriously shot, wonderfully acted. It was a piece of art.

The Revenant 4

I look forward to the show! The red carpet! The spectacle! The controversy! The glamour! The unexpected surprises! The moving speeches! It is one of my favorite nights of the year! I hope you enjoy it too!